thenextwave

Trends for 2009 from the APF

Posted in trends, Uncategorized by thenextwavefutures on 29 January, 2009

The Association of Professional Futurists has just published a list of trends to watch in 2009, nominated by members. Eight in all – two on governance, two on geopolitics, two on sustainability, and two others broadly in the area of leisure/entertainment . Not sure about the last one (on the future of the American women’s soccer league: I’d have thought the bursting of the professional sports financial bubble was a more interesting prospect). The list is below the fold,

  • Mechanisms to support greater transparency will continue to evolve as a global strategy for combating political and corporate corruption
  • The emergence of credible new steps toward the development of new  global governance structures with stronger regulatory power for the first time in decades.
  • Russia’s changing role in regional and world geopolitics— Are we watching the early days of a new ‘Cold War’?
  • Civil unrest within China stemming from displaced workers from a slower growing economy and/or rise of youth culture more demanding of democratic policies.
  • We’ll see governments and companies investing in ‘Smart Infrastructure’ for transportation, energy, information. and people
  • ‘Peak Production’ of Oil (and possibly other natural resources) might emerge as the mainstream energy policy issue in the next 12 months
  • ‘Digital TV’ is going mainstream as new web services reach more audiences through an old platform
  • Sports Culture: Will the Women’s Professional Soccer league (The WPS) succeed economically or not?

One Response

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  1. thenextwavefutures said, on 10 February, 2009 at 8:15 pm

    Nick Wray sent me an email which added his trends to the APF’s list. Here they are:

    – Rise of the left/right nationally and internationally, mediated through (anti-) social networking (cf globalisation of green politics)

    – Investment in nuclear technologies (programme of atomic power rebuilds and greater research/funding into fusion energy)

    – Taxation crises following global meltdown, including taxation of internet

    – Militarisation grows in China, played out through spats with India

    – Growth of decent music again (as happens in recession, cf punk)

    – Social networking gets commercial & twitter is rebuilt or collapses under creaking infrastructure – see http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/05/22/twitter-at-scale-will-it-work/

    – The cost of being green becomes a socio-political issue (e.g. being able to afford organic and/or free-range)

    – Film & DVD, console/pc game audiences increase (in relation to downturn and less leisure spending money, it’s a cheap night out)

    – Crime (robberies and fraud) increase

    – Obama fatigue and disillusionment sets in


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